Category: Macro Market Movers

  • A Second Glance at First Quarter GDP

    A Second Glance at First Quarter GDP

    A second glance at the first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) provided respite for investors fixated on negative headlines.

  • Time for a June Swoon?

    Time for a June Swoon?

    Well, it finally happened. The S&P 500 Index pulled back more than 5% from its all-time high, marking the first 5% pullback of 2019. As we have discussed many times over the past two months, the odds were high that some type of pullback or even correction (10% or more off the highs) was likely…

  • Checking In On the Five Forecasters

    Checking In On the Five Forecasters

    With the bull market 10 years old and the economic cycle about to reach 10 years, the big question is how much longer can it go? To answer this question we will take a closer look at our Five Forecasters for late-cycle warnings. Historically, these indicators—which are summarized in our Recent Watch Dashboard—have collectively signaled…

  • Uncomfortable, but Expected

    Uncomfortable, but Expected

    Trade tensions have flared up again, and they’ve caught the stock market off guard.

  • Rising Tide for Diversified Portfolios

    Rising Tide for Diversified Portfolios

    Diversified investors were the big winners in the first four months of this year.

  • Sectors to Watch This Earnings Season

    Sectors to Watch This Earnings Season

    First quarter earnings season begins this week with some big banks reporting on Friday. While we think profit growth will finish around flat overall, an improving macro backdrop points to better growth ahead.