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Bonds To Fed: Do Not Raise Rates | Bond Market Perspectives | September 08, 2015
Last week’s jobs report was just the sort of “not too hot, not too cold” result that kept a possible Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike on the table at the conclusion of next week’s Fed meeting.
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Mid-Cycle Credit Check | Bond Market Perspectives | August 25, 2015
As the U.S. economy enters the second half of this business cycle, a sporadic credit checkup can be just what the doctor ordered. A close look at the high-yield market shows some slight signs of credit quality deterioration emerging, but for now the market, despite recent challenges, shows relatively stable vital signs.
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Summer Quartet | Bond Market Perspectives | August 18, 2015
Music from four players continues to influence events in the bond market this summer: the Federal Reserve (Fed), China, oil prices, and the U.S. dollar. The music from these four players has led to a mixed response in the bond market: disturbing for short-term securities, melodic for long-term bonds.
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High-Yield Oil Slick | Bond Market Perspectives | August 11, 2015
The year-to-date performance advantage of high-yield bonds relative to Treasuries (based on the Barclays High Yield and Treasury indexes) has been reduced to a very narrow margin following rising oil-related default fears.
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Summer Growth Concerns | Bond Market Perspectives | August 04, 2015
Fixed income markets showed signs of a growth scare in July 2015, with lower real yields, lower inflation expectations, and a flatter yield curve.
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China’s Effect On Emerging Markets Debt | Bond Market Perspectives | July 28, 2015
Emerging markets debt (EMD) spreads have moved above 4%, a level that has attracted buying interest in recent years. EMD is more sensitive to interest rates than the broad U.S. fixed income market.